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Trump and Biden Likely Won't Shake Hands at Debate, Prediction Market Says
18.6.2024
Meanwhile, there's a prediction market on whether the U.K. newspaper The Guardian will correct an article about prediction markets
Will Trump Trounce Biden? Polymarket Traders Are Betting on It.
11.6.2024
With a 56% chance of winning, according to the prediction market's traders, the former president has a 22-point lead over the incumbent, far bigger than what the polls indicate
Betting Odds Odds Suggest 24% Chance Joe Biden Will Exit 2024 Election Race
11.6.2024
According to a bet on Polymarket, a decentralized predictions platform powered by Polygon, there’s a wager on whether current U.S. President Joe Biden will exit the 2024 election race. Currently, the likelihood of Biden stepping down has grown over the past few months to a 24% probability,...
Polymarket Bets Show Growing Confidence in Trump’s Election Victory Over Biden
9.6.2024
Ten days ago, after former President Donald Trump was convicted on 34 counts connected to a hush-money scheme, Polymarket bets indicated his chances of winning the 2024 election still stood at 54%, compared to incumbent President Joe Biden’s 40%. Since that time, the gap between Trump and Biden...
Trump Conviction Barely Dents His Odds of Winning Election: Prediction Markets
4.6.2024
Plus: Polymarket traders doubt Trump will go to prison; Kalshi bettors are at odds with the CME FedWatch poll on rate cuts
Conviction Fails to Deter Donald Trump’s 2024 Election Odds, According to Polymarket Bets
31.5.2024
Following the landmark news of former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts related to a hush-money scheme allegedly influencing the 2016 election, data from the Polygon-powered prediction market Polymarket shows Trump still leading in forecast bets for the 2024 election. Convicted...
TRUMP token recovers from nasty dip after Donald Trump guilty verdict
31.5.2024
Meanwhile, the Jeo Boden (BODEN) meme coin linked to Trump’s arch-rival, Joe Biden, rallied 6.4% in the first 15 minutes before dumping again
TRUMP Token Sinks After Former U.S. President Is Found Guilty in New York
30.5.2024
Trump Widens Lead Over With Biden (on Polymarket and PredictIt) After Courting Crypto Vote
28.5.2024
Plus, how much longshot money was made betting on the SEC approving an Ethereum ETF?
Polymarket erupts: Dispute over Ethereum ETF approval
24.5.2024
The debate has sparked heated discussions about the explanation of ‘approval,’ and there was no response from the business establishments involved. Those who made incorrect speculation about spot exchange-traded funds are raising objections about the decentralized market platform. Although...
Polymarket gets backlash over ‘approved’ outcome on $13M Ethereum ETF bet
24.5.2024
A multi-million bet on “Ethereum ETF approved by May 31” resolved to a “Yes” on Polymarket as news from the SEC broke, but the losing side argues it's not over yet
Ether (ETH) Surges 17%, Polymarket Approval Chances Rocket, as ETF Makes Regulatory Progress
21.5.2024
The U.S. SEC has asked exchanges to update 19b-4 filings for ether ETFs ahead of a key deadline, suggesting potential approval progress, though approval is not guaranteed
Billionaire Peter Thiel’s Venture Capital Firm Leads Polymarket’s $45 Million Series B Funding Round
15.5.2024
Billionaire Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund recently led the Series B funding round for the crypto-based prediction markets platform, Polymarket, which raised $45 million. The latest round valued Polymarket lower than the $1 billion it had anticipated before the Commodity Futures Trading Commission...
Peter Thiel's Founders Fund invests $70M in election betting platform
14.5.2024
Amid increasing U.S. regulatory scrutiny, popular crypto-based betting platform Polymarket secures funding to expand its global operations despite restrictions
Peter Thiel's Founders Fund, Vitalik Buterin Back $45M Investment in Polymarket
14.5.2024
The series B funding round comes during a breakout year for the crypto-based prediction market platform, and brings its total funding close to $75 million
Trump and Biden Tied on Polymarket, Diverging From Polls
13.5.2024
Other election contracts show a 35% chance of a Republican sweep of the presidency and both houses of Congress and a 27% chance Democrats control the Senate after the election
U.S. CFTC Proposes Ban on Political Event Contracts
10.5.2024
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed a formal rejection of event contracts that bet on the outcome of political activity in a vote on Friday, beginning an effort to wall off U.S. customers from platforms that allow the trading of predictive contracts
Grayscale Withdraws Ethereum ETF Proposal Amid Skepticism Over SEC Approval
8.5.2024
Grayscale has retracted its application to list its ethereum trust, known as ETHE, as detailed in a filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. James Seyffart, a Bloomberg analyst specializing in exchange-traded funds (ETF), expressed puzzlement over Grayscale’s decision to...
Traders rush to short Ether as Grayscale pulls its futures ETF plan
8.5.2024
Just a 3% rebound in Ether’s price would wipe $345 million in short positions amid Grayscale withdrawing its Ether futures ETF application
Polymarket Bets Reflect Low Confidence in Ethereum ETF Approval by SEC
7.5.2024
According to a wager on the decentralized betting platform Polymarket, the likelihood of a spot ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) gaining approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission currently stands at just 7%. This forecast commenced in January with a 76% probability of approval...