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Prediction Market Bettors Go All-in on a Bitcoin Drop Under $100K
18.10.2025
Over the past two weeks, bitcoin has shed 12.4% against the U.S. dollar and now sits 14.9% shy of its all-time high above $126,000. Social media’s been buzzing with chatter over bitcoin’s slide, while prediction platform Polymarket shows bettors pegging a 69% chance that BTC dips below $100,000...
Polymarket Nobel Peace Prize Controversy: Data Leak Likely Involved Web Scraping
13.10.2025
A conversation with one of the alleged insiders who profited from the bet hinted that the data leak may have originated from the Nobel Prize website. The site could have been scraped to recover information indicating Machado’s victory before it was announced. Polymarket Nobel Peace Prize Insider...
Polymarket: Nobel Peace Prize Dark Horse’s Rise Sparks Insider Trading Speculation
10.10.2025
The rise of Maria Corina Machado, a Venezuelan opposition leader, as the leading option in Polymarket for winning the Nobel Peace Prize hours after the announcement of her victory, sparked speculation about possible information leaks and insider trading activity on social media. Maria Corina...
Polymarket’s Evolution: From DeFi Startup to ICE-Backed Global Platform
10.10.2025
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction platform, has received a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), marking a pivotal step in merging traditional finance (TradFi) with decentralized markets. Inside ICE’s Polymarket Deal: A Turning Point for Crypto Prediction Platforms...
MetaMask Will Add Polymarket Prediction Markets, Rolls Out Perp Trading With Hyperliquid
8.10.2025
The crypto wallet said will allow users to bet on real-world outcomes as part of an exclusive partnership with Polymarket, coming later this year
Polymarket Weighs $9B Valuation as Kalshi Eyes $5B, Report Says
14.9.2025
Polymarket and Kalshi are reportedly weighing fresh fundraising rounds at valuations of $9 billion and $5 billion, respectively, according to a new report from The Information. Technology newsletter The Information reports that both prediction market operators are entertaining new cash infusions:...
Ghislaine Maxwell Breaks Silence: Claims Epstein Didn’t Kill Himself, Eyes Trump Pardon
23.8.2025
Ghislaine Maxwell, once a close associate of the late financier and sex-trafficking operator, Jeffrey Epstein, said she does not believe Epstein took his own life. She also stressed that she “never witnessed the president in any inappropriate setting in any way.” Prediction market Polymarket...
Election Highs Ease but Activity Remains for Prediction Markets Polymarket and Kalshi
11.8.2025
Polymarket and Kalshi, two prominent prediction markets, have continued to record substantial trading activity into 2025, with volumes, active accounts, and market offerings reflecting ongoing participation beyond the 2024 U.S. Election. Data Shows Polymarket Volumes Remain Above Pre-Election...
Ghislaine Maxwell’s Texas Transfer Sparks Wild Speculation on Prediction Markets
3.8.2025
This week, Ghislaine Maxwell—the convicted accomplice of disgraced sex offender Jeffrey Epstein—was quietly transferred from a Florida lockup to a low-security prison 950 miles away. Not long after, Polymarket lit up with a flurry of speculative betting action associated with Maxwell, tapping into...
Will Ghislaine Flip? Maxwell’s DOJ Meeting Sparks Polymarket Frenzy
25.7.2025
A swarm of high-stakes prediction markets on Polymarket are placing Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein squarely at the center of a fresh round of speculation, just as Maxwell held a private meeting with the U.S. deputy attorney general. Markets Bet on Epstein Revelations After Ghislaine Maxwell...
Polymarket to Re-Enter US Market After Acquiring Regulated Exchange QCX
21.7.2025
Crypto-betting platform Polymarket is set to return to the U.S. market after federal regulators closed investigations and it struck a deal to acquire derivatives exchange QCX. The Justice Department and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that probes...
Polymarket Degens Bet on Astronomer CEO’s Divorce Following Kiss Cam Incident
18.7.2025
A Polymarket prediction market has emerged, allowing users to wager on the potential divorces of Astronomer CEO Andy Byron and Chief People Officer Kristin Cabot. This speculation began after the two went viral on social media for their appearance at a Coldplay concert. Polymarket Bets on Possible...
DOJ and CFTC Terminate Polymarket Investigations: Bloomberg
15.7.2025
U.S. authorities have closed investigations into crypto-betting platform Polymarket, signaling a regulatory shift under the Trump administration. Bloomberg reports that the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) formally notified Polymarket this month that...
US Bombs Iran, and Now Everyone’s Wagering on What’s Next
22.6.2025
After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals...
45% Odds US Military Will Strike Iran Before July—Markets on High Alert
17.6.2025
As of June 17, 2025, at 8 a.m. Eastern time, Israel and Iran remain locked in their fifth straight day of direct military exchange, with both nations continuing missile strikes and air raids. A Polymarket prediction places a 45% probability that the U.S. military will intervene against Iran before...
Prediction Markets Traders Bet Big on Easy Liberal Win as Canadians Head to the Polls
28.4.2025
Political betting platforms show Mark Carney leading with a 78% chance of becoming Canada's next Prime Minister, while Pierre Poilievre has a 22% chance
Prediction Markets Don't Have a Gambling Problem, Says Crypto Attorney
24.1.2025
While regulators around the world ban Polymarket for being a gambling platform, attorney Aaron Brogan has a good argument for why it's not
Polymarket's Customer Data Sought by CFTC Subpoena of Coinbase, Source Says
10.1.2025
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is said to be seeking information about customers' interactions with the prediction market site Polymarket
Musk, Crypto leaders back Poilievre as Trudeau announces exit
8.1.2025
Many in the crypto industry back pro-Bitcoin candidate Pierre Poilievre, who has an 89% chance of winning Canada’s upcoming election, according to Polymarket
Musk, crypto leaders back Poilievre as Trudeau announces exit
8.1.2025
Many in the crypto industry back pro-Bitcoin candidate Pierre Poilievre, who has an 89% chance of winning Canada’s upcoming election, according to Polymarket