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Prediction Markets Turn Guarded as Bitcoin Trades Below $87K
25.1.2026
While BTC plunged below $87,000 on Sunday, prediction markets are flashing mixed but revealing signals for bitcoin as late January betting frames a tug-of-war between short-term caution and longer-term optimism. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Myriad Markets Hint at Rangebound Bitcoin Prediction markets...
Polymarket sees January US gov't shutdown odds surge to 77%
25.1.2026
The spike in Polymarket odds comes just days after United States President Donald Trump said “we’re probably going to end up in another Democrat shutdown.”
Ukraine banned Polymarket and there’s no legal way for it to come back
24.1.2026
Polymarket and similar platforms are considered unlicensed gambling operators, leading to blocked access
Prediction Markets Hit All-Time Weekly High of Over $2.7 Million in Fees
20.1.2026
Prediction markets posted a record-breaking week, generating more than $2.7 million in fees. Opinion and Polymarket led activity as volumes and open interest climbed across major platforms. Opinion and Polymarket Drive Record Week for Prediction Markets Prediction markets reached a new milestone...
Polymarket hit by fresh Europe crackdowns as Hungary, Portugal block access
20.1.2026
The moves highlight the growing uncertainty over whether crypto prediction markets are treated as finance or gambling
Portugal joins growing list of countries cracking down on Polymarket
20.1.2026
Betting on political events is illegal in Portugal, and the regulator gave Polymarket 48 hours to cease operations in the country
6 Distinct Prediction Markets Favor Bitcoin’s $100K Path as Downside Bets Divide
19.1.2026
Across Myriad, Kalshi, and Polymarket, prediction traders are converging on a familiar conclusion: bitcoin looks far more likely to flirt with six figures than collapse into deep drawdown territory anytime soon. The $100K-or-Bust Framing Takes Hold On Myriad, the market bluntly titled “ Bitcoin’s...
Bitcoin's 'digital gold' narrative crumbles again as $100,000 odds wilt after Trump's tariff threat
19.1.2026
Polymarket trader nets $233,000 from XRP markets in a daring weekend move, outsmarting bots
19.1.2026
A trader exploited thin weekend liquidity and automated market-making bots on Polymarket to lock in a $233,000 profit, sparking debate over whether the strategy crossed the line into market manipulation
Weekly Prediction Market Volume Skyrockets as Several Competitors Square Off
18.1.2026
In the final week of 2025, weekly prediction market notional volume cleared $5.3 billion, and the opening week of 2026 pulled the same trick—once again topping $5 billion and etching fresh records into the sector’s ledger. Prediction Markets Gain Serious Attention Prediction markets have been...
Trump says ‘Venezuela leaker’ jailed as Polymarket accounts go quiet
16.1.2026
US President Donald Trump said the “leaker on Venezuela has been found and is in jail” as some Polymarket accounts tied to early bets on Maduro’s ouster go silent
NCAA urges CFTC to pause college sports prediction markets
15.1.2026
The group says contracts mirror sports betting but lack safeguards, warning transfer portal markets could pose “catastrophic” risks to student athletes
New Polymarket bettor places $40,000 on U.S. striking Iran tonight
15.1.2026
One trader went against the current trend of low chances for a strike tonight by placing the new $40,000 bet
Ukraine blocks Polymarket, classifies prediction markets as gambling
13.1.2026
The move adds Ukraine to a growing list of countries, including France, Germany, the UK, Italy, Poland, Thailand and Australia, where Polymarket is already restricted
Ukraine blocks Polymarket in wider online gambling crackdown
13.1.2026
Polymarket is already restricted in 33 countries
Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com Receive Cease-and-Desist Letters From Tennessee Regulators
12.1.2026
Tennessee has issued cease-and-desist letters to Crypto.com and two of the biggest prediction market platforms, requesting the companies to shut down services for customers in the state. Regulatory Concerns Prompt State Regulators To Threaten Firms With Fines for Failure to Comply With Demands...
Prediction markets downplay Powell exit risk despite DOJ probe: Asia Morning Briefing
12.1.2026
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are shrugging off the idea that a criminal investigation into the chair of the Federal Reserve would have him removed from his role early
Tennessee sends cease-and-desist letters to Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com
11.1.2026
Tennessee regulator warned that failure to comply could trigger steep fines, court injunctions and potential law enforcement referrals for for further investigation
Markets Stare Down 2026 as Recession Odds, Liquidity Hopes Pull in Opposite Directions
11.1.2026
With 2025 in the rearview mirror and 2026 already packed with developments, many are debating whether the United States is headed for a liquidity lift or a sharp downturn. Crypto has swung within a tight range as equity markets push higher and precious metals flirt with record territory. Against...
Tennessee orders Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com to cease sports betting contracts
10.1.2026
The firms, federally regulated by the CFTC, were told to shut down Tennessee-based activity, refund deposits, and void open contracts by Jan. 31