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Is a Recession Locked In? Traders Assign High Odds to Economic Trouble Ahead
22.4.2025
Trade wars, collapsing confidence, and stubborn inflation have kept Polymarket’s recession odds at 57%—signaling a bumpy economic road ahead. Economy on Edge This year, U.S. recession odds have climbed amid escalating tariffs, reciprocal trade measures, waning business confidence, decelerating...
Against All Odds, Argentina Keeps Beating the Dollar
22.4.2025
Argentina celebrated the continued decrease in the dollar-peso exchange rate, even predicting that it might fall below the flotation bands established by the central bank. This would trigger a purchase intervention from the bank to weaken the peso. Argentina Keeps Winning the Battle Against...
Bitcoin acting "less Nasdaq" and more like gold, despite 60% recession odds
22.4.2025
Bitcoin is decoupling from the US stock market and starting to trade more like precious metals, in another signal of Bitcoin’s growing role as a safe-haven asset against global economic disruption.Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is showcasing its growing maturity as a global asset, becoming...
Bitcoin acting ‘less Nasdaq,’ more like gold, despite 60% recession odds
22.4.2025
Bitcoin is decoupling from the US stock market and starting to trade more like precious metals, in another signal of Bitcoin’s growing role as a safe-haven asset against global economic disruption.Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is showcasing its growing maturity as a global asset, becoming...
Bitcoin can reach $138K in 3 months as macro odds see BTC price upside
19.4.2025
Bitcoin (BTC) faces “unprecedented” US dollar correlation as new BTC price research gives a $75,000 floor.In one of his latest analyses on April 18, network economist Timothy Peterson calculated that BTC/USD may rise as high as $138,000 within the next three months.BTC price...
Bitcoin can reach $138K in 3 months as macro odds see BTC price upside
19.4.2025
Bitcoin (BTC) faces “unprecedented” US dollar correlation as new BTC price research gives a $75,000 floor.In one of his latest analyses on April 18, network economist Timothy Peterson calculated that BTC/USD may rise as high as $138,000 within the next three months.BTC price...
Polymarket Sees 79% Odds for US Solana ETF Amid 11% Weekly Gain
18.4.2025
After several solana-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) debuted on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX), solana climbed more than 11% over the past seven days, earning its place as the leading gainer among the ten largest crypto assets by market capitalization. Solana Advances 11% on TSX ETF Debut;...
Fed Rate Cut Odds Dwindle Despite Trump’s Criticism
17.4.2025
Just five days ago, the likelihood of a quarter-point rate cut was higher, but with fewer than 20 days remaining until the U.S. central bank’s next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, those odds have diminished. In Five Days, Fed Rate Cut Odds Have Declined Massively While a rate...
Bitcoin price tags $86K as Trump tariff relief boosts breakout odds
13.4.2025
Bitcoin (BTC) hit an eleven-day high on April 13 as the crypto market relief rally closely tracked US financial policy changes.BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewBitcoin traders say brace for more volatilityData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD...
Markets on Edge as Fed Rate Cut Odds Shift Amid Trump Tariff Drama
12.4.2025
Amid the market chaos triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariff measures, the probability of a federal funds rate cut has been steadily climbing. Trump’s Tariff Whiplash Fuels Rate Speculation Across Futures and Prediction Markets Trump’s tariff policies have captivated...
Trump tariffs reignite idea that Bitcoin could outlast US dollar
9.4.2025
The lingering fears triggered by US President Donald Trump’s sweeping global tariffs have analysts increasingly convinced that Bitcoin is now more likely than ever to challenge the US dollar in the years ahead.“Higher chance Bitcoin survives over the dollar in our lifetime after...
Kalshi traders place the odds of US recession in 2025 at over 61%
5.4.2025
Traders on the Kalshi prediction market place the odds of a US recession in 2025 at 61%, following the sweeping tariff order signed by President Donald Trump on April 2.Kalshi uses the standard criteria of a recession, two business quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth,...
Kalshi traders place the odds of US recession in 2025 at over 61%
5.4.2025
Traders on the Kalshi prediction market place the odds of a US recession in 2025 at 61%, following the sweeping tariff order signed by President Donald Trump on April 2.Kalshi uses the standard criteria of a recession, two business quarters of negative gross domestic product (GDP) growth,...
U.S. Recession Odds Surge in Prediction Markets on Tariff Shock. What Next for BTC?
3.4.2025
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing in an over-50% chance of a U.S. recession this year
XRP ETF ‘obvious’ as Polymarket bettors up approval odds to 85%
26.3.2025
Crypto community members are growing more optimistic about an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval following the resolution of a multi-year legal battle between Ripple and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). On March 19, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse announced...
Holy Wager: Bettors Back 3% Odds for Jesus’ 2025 Return on Polymarket
21.3.2025
A wager on the blockchain prediction market Polymarket is hedging its bets on divinity, offering 3% odds that Jesus Christ will return in 2025. Betting on the Messiah—Polymarket’s Unusual 2025 Bet The bet, hosted on blockchain-powered platform prediction marketplace Polymarket, has drawn $44,760...
Investors flee from risk assets as JPMorgan ups recession odds to 40%
11.3.2025
Crypto and tech stocks saw large selloffs on March 10 as fears of a US recession heightened despite efforts from the White House to temper concerns. Economists at Wall Street investment bank JPMorgan have raised their recession risk this year to 40%, up from 30% at the beginning...
Investors flee from risk assets as JPMorgan ups recession odds to 40%
11.3.2025
Crypto and tech stocks saw large selloffs on March 10 as fears of a US recession heightened despite efforts from the White House to temper concerns. Economists at Wall Street investment bank JPMorgan have raised their recession risk this year to 40%, up from 30% at the beginning...
Bitcoin has ‘more than 50% chance’ of new high by June: Cory Klippsten
7.3.2025
Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten tells Cointelegraph that while Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase, he doesn’t see that “stretching into long-term sideways movement.”
Bitcoin has ‘more than 50% chance’ of new high by June: Cory Klippsten
7.3.2025
Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten tells Cointelegraph that while Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase, he doesn’t see that “stretching into long-term sideways movement.”