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Prediction Markets Turn Guarded as Bitcoin Trades Below $87K
25.1.2026
While BTC plunged below $87,000 on Sunday, prediction markets are flashing mixed but revealing signals for bitcoin as late January betting frames a tug-of-war between short-term caution and longer-term optimism. Kalshi, Polymarket, and Myriad Markets Hint at Rangebound Bitcoin Prediction markets...
Prediction Markets Hit All-Time Weekly High of Over $2.7 Million in Fees
20.1.2026
Prediction markets posted a record-breaking week, generating more than $2.7 million in fees. Opinion and Polymarket led activity as volumes and open interest climbed across major platforms. Opinion and Polymarket Drive Record Week for Prediction Markets Prediction markets reached a new milestone...
Polymarket hit by fresh Europe crackdowns as Hungary, Portugal block access
20.1.2026
The moves highlight the growing uncertainty over whether crypto prediction markets are treated as finance or gambling
6 Distinct Prediction Markets Favor Bitcoin’s $100K Path as Downside Bets Divide
19.1.2026
Across Myriad, Kalshi, and Polymarket, prediction traders are converging on a familiar conclusion: bitcoin looks far more likely to flirt with six figures than collapse into deep drawdown territory anytime soon. The $100K-or-Bust Framing Takes Hold On Myriad, the market bluntly titled “ Bitcoin’s...
Weekly Prediction Market Volume Skyrockets as Several Competitors Square Off
18.1.2026
In the final week of 2025, weekly prediction market notional volume cleared $5.3 billion, and the opening week of 2026 pulled the same trick—once again topping $5 billion and etching fresh records into the sector’s ledger. Prediction Markets Gain Serious Attention Prediction markets have been...
Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com Receive Cease-and-Desist Letters From Tennessee Regulators
12.1.2026
Tennessee has issued cease-and-desist letters to Crypto.com and two of the biggest prediction market platforms, requesting the companies to shut down services for customers in the state. Regulatory Concerns Prompt State Regulators To Threaten Firms With Fines for Failure to Comply With Demands...
Markets Stare Down 2026 as Recession Odds, Liquidity Hopes Pull in Opposite Directions
11.1.2026
With 2025 in the rearview mirror and 2026 already packed with developments, many are debating whether the United States is headed for a liquidity lift or a sharp downturn. Crypto has swung within a tight range as equity markets push higher and precious metals flirt with record territory. Against...
Prediction Market Data Shows Waning Confidence in January Bitcoin Breakout
8.1.2026
Bitcoin dipped to an intraday low of $89,343 on Thursday, Jan. 8, before stabilizing just above $90,000 by 11:25 a.m. EST, as prediction markets collectively pared back expectations for a six-figure January move. $100K Still Possible, but January Odds Are Sliding Across major prediction platforms...
Polymarket Enters the Newsroom Through Dow Jones Alliance
7.1.2026
Polymarket and Dow Jones, publisher of The Wall Street Journal, have struck an exclusive partnership to integrate real-time prediction market data across Dow Jones’ digital and print platforms. Under the agreement, Polymarket’s market-implied probabilities will appear across Dow Jones publications...
Polymarket Launches Real‑Estate Prediction Markets Using Parcl’s Housing Indices
6.1.2026
Parcl and Polymarket partner to create prediction markets that settle on daily housing‑price indices. Parcl, the onchain real‑estate data platform, and Polymarket, the prediction‑market exchange, announced a partnership to bring Parcl’s daily housing price indices to a new suite of real‑estate...
Prediction Markets Price Uncertainty as Venezuela Eyes New Leadership
5.1.2026
Since the U.S. removed Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, prediction markets tied to the Latin American nation have attracted large flows of capital. Two specific contracts focused on who will govern the country by the end of 2026 have already recorded close to $2 million in trading volume....
Maduro’s Fall Turns Long-Shot Polymarket Bets Into Overnight Wins
3.1.2026
A U.S. military operation removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro from power early Jan. 3, 2026, abruptly resolving a series of high-profile Polymarket prediction markets that had been tracking his potential exit for months. Within hours of the announcement, contracts tied to Maduro’s removal...
How Much Is Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Worth? Polymarket Bets Tell the Story
28.12.2025
Prediction market bettors are pricing in a blockbuster outcome for Logan Paul’s famed Pikachu Illustrator card after the influencer-turned-collector confirmed plans to auction it in early 2026, igniting fresh debate over rarity, hype, and how far nostalgia-backed assets can really go. Logan Paul’s...
Prediction Markets Had Their Breakout Year in 2025 — and There Was No Going Back
25.12.2025
In 2025, prediction markets stopped acting like a sideshow and started behaving like a real financial category. Prediction Markets Go Mainstream What began as a niche experiment in forecasting elections and sports quietly evolved into a multibillion-dollar ecosystem touching Wall Street, media...
New Epstein Documents Fuel High-Stakes Bets on Polymarket and Kalshi
23.12.2025
After a flood of documents and photographs from the Jeffrey Epstein files dropped this month, even more material from the sprawling archive is expected to roll out under a U.S. Department of Justice release required by the Epstein Files Transparency Act. Since then, a Polymarket wager titled “Who...
Draftkings Taps CFTC Framework to Launch Predictions Marketplace App
19.12.2025
On Friday, Draftkings launched a standalone predictions app regulated under federal commodities law, formally entering the growing U.S. prediction markets sector and expanding beyond traditional sports betting into event-based contract trading. Draftkings Brings Event Contracts to U.S. Users...
Rip Higher or Roll Over? Prediction Market Wagers Suggest a Slower Climb Ahead for Bitcoin
19.12.2025
With bitcoin off 5.5% for the month of December on a returns basis, plenty of eyes are squinting at the chart and asking what comes next. To size things up, we leaned into the wisdom of the crowd and peeked at what today’s most active prediction markets are betting on. Myriad Bettors Still Favor...
Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock
9.12.2025
Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all but planted a flag on a quarter-point cut as the likely outcome. Market Goes All-In on a Quarter-Point Trim...
Polymarket Hiring In-House Team to Trade Against Customers — Here's Why It's a Risk
5.12.2025
The prediction market’s move toward internal market making could blur the line with sportsbooks and undermine the platform’s neutrality, experts warn
Polymarket Reenters US Market as New App Rolls out to Waitlisted Users
3.12.2025
Polymarket officially reentered the U.S. on Wednesday with the rollout of its new mobile app to waitlisted users, marking its first domestic availability since 2021. Polymarket’s Mobile App Marks Its First Step Back Into the United States Polymarket announced Wednesday that its U.S. app is now live...