Search
From ‘Absurd’ to Odds-On? Trump’s Greenland Push Sends Prediction Markets Buzzing
21.1.2026
President Donald Trump’s recent flirtation with acquiring Greenland has drawn pushback from several European countries, prompting him to fire back with tariff threats slated for early February. The move has lit up prediction markets, where wagers now run into the millions over whether the U.S....
Prediction Markets Hit All-Time Weekly High of Over $2.7 Million in Fees
20.1.2026
Prediction markets posted a record-breaking week, generating more than $2.7 million in fees. Opinion and Polymarket led activity as volumes and open interest climbed across major platforms. Opinion and Polymarket Drive Record Week for Prediction Markets Prediction markets reached a new milestone...
Massachusetts judge poised to tell Kalshi to stop taking sports bets in state
20.1.2026
The prediction market platform Kalshi will be preliminarily ordered by a superior court justice in Massachusetts to halt its online sports business there
Portugal joins growing list of countries cracking down on Polymarket
20.1.2026
Betting on political events is illegal in Portugal, and the regulator gave Polymarket 48 hours to cease operations in the country
Only KYC can stop insider trading on prediction markets, Messari says
20.1.2026
Insider trading is hard to curb on non-KYC prediction markets, but even identity checks do not fully eliminate abuse, according to Messari’s Austin Weiler
6 Distinct Prediction Markets Favor Bitcoin’s $100K Path as Downside Bets Divide
19.1.2026
Across Myriad, Kalshi, and Polymarket, prediction traders are converging on a familiar conclusion: bitcoin looks far more likely to flirt with six figures than collapse into deep drawdown territory anytime soon. The $100K-or-Bust Framing Takes Hold On Myriad, the market bluntly titled “ Bitcoin’s...
Weekly Prediction Market Volume Skyrockets as Several Competitors Square Off
18.1.2026
In the final week of 2025, weekly prediction market notional volume cleared $5.3 billion, and the opening week of 2026 pulled the same trick—once again topping $5 billion and etching fresh records into the sector’s ledger. Prediction Markets Gain Serious Attention Prediction markets have been...
US college athlete body urges CFTC pause college sports prediction markets
16.1.2026
The NCAA wants the CFTC to tighten rules on college sport prediction markets, including age and advertising restrictions and anti-harassment measures
Bitcoin's next big test is breaking through $100,000: Asia Morning Briefing
16.1.2026
Bitcoin steadies near $95K as prediction markets, market makers, and desks point to a momentum-driven run at $100K rather than a decisive breakout
Goldman is 'spending a lot of time' on crypto, prediction markets efforts, CEO Solomon says
15.1.2026
The firm is exploring how these technologies can fit into its business and has met with prediction market platforms
NCAA urges CFTC to pause college sports prediction markets
15.1.2026
The group says contracts mirror sports betting but lack safeguards, warning transfer portal markets could pose “catastrophic” risks to student athletes
Ukraine blocks Polymarket, classifies prediction markets as gambling
13.1.2026
The move adds Ukraine to a growing list of countries, including France, Germany, the UK, Italy, Poland, Thailand and Australia, where Polymarket is already restricted
A16z Reveals Three Crypto Predictions for 2026
13.1.2026
Venture capital giant Andreessen Horowitz (A16z) has unveiled three predictions on how it sees crypto going “beyond crypto” this year. $45 Billion VC Giant Eyeing Developments in Prediction Markets, Media, and the Potential for a Completely New Crypto Primitive In a blog post, A16z analysts...
Federal judge temporarily halts Tennessee's bid to shut down Kalshi sports contracts
13.1.2026
A new ruling freezes a state cease-and-desist order while the court considers whether Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated platform is shielded from state gambling laws
Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com Receive Cease-and-Desist Letters From Tennessee Regulators
12.1.2026
Tennessee has issued cease-and-desist letters to Crypto.com and two of the biggest prediction market platforms, requesting the companies to shut down services for customers in the state. Regulatory Concerns Prompt State Regulators To Threaten Firms With Fines for Failure to Comply With Demands...
Prediction markets downplay Powell exit risk despite DOJ probe: Asia Morning Briefing
12.1.2026
Traders on Polymarket and Kalshi are shrugging off the idea that a criminal investigation into the chair of the Federal Reserve would have him removed from his role early
Markets Stare Down 2026 as Recession Odds, Liquidity Hopes Pull in Opposite Directions
11.1.2026
With 2025 in the rearview mirror and 2026 already packed with developments, many are debating whether the United States is headed for a liquidity lift or a sharp downturn. Crypto has swung within a tight range as equity markets push higher and precious metals flirt with record territory. Against...
US lawmaker's bill would ban politically related prediction bets after Maduro wager
9.1.2026
The bill came after a Polymarket user netted more than $400,000 on a contract related to the removal of then-Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, fueling concerns about insider trading
Bitcoin holds near $91,000 as market awaits Trump tariff ruling: Asia Morning Briefing
9.1.2026
Prediction markets see low odds of a clear Supreme Court ruling on tariffs, a setup that has previously triggered short-term volatility in bitcoin, which then stabilized
Revived NY bill targets sports, politics and death prediction markets
9.1.2026
New York lawmakers will soon review a bill that seeks to ban certain sports and political event contracts in the state, among others