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Nalezeno "kalshi polymarket": 46

CME, Prediction Markets Align on Quarter-Point Fed Cut


Traders across futures and prediction markets are nearly unanimous: the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at its September meeting, with a 25 basis point reduction the clear favorite. Fed Decision Looms With Markets Bracing for Easing The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)...

US Bombs Iran, and Now Everyone’s Wagering on What’s Next


After U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Saturday evening that the U.S. had launched successful airstrikes on Iran, trading activity tied to the Middle East conflict on prediction markets lit up like a pinball machine. Gamble of War: Traders Bet on Invasion, Regime Collapse, and Nuclear Deals...

Prediction Market Frenzy: Musk-Trump War Fuels Bizarre Political Wagers


Ever since tensions flared between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, markets have seesawed and social media has lit up with fiery takes on the so-called “Big Beautiful Bill.” The clash between the sitting U.S. president and the world’s wealthiest individual has also sent prediction markets into a frenzy....

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