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Prediction Markets Price Bitcoin Stability, Not Explosive Upside, for Early 2026
5.2.2026
Bitcoin prediction market contracts across multiple platforms are converging around a narrow price band for early 2026, with traders broadly assigning low probabilities to aggressive upside scenarios and treating six-figure outcomes as long-shot events. Prediction Markets Point to $65K as Bitcoin’s...
Polymarket, Circle partner in shift to native USDC settlement
5.2.2026
Polymarket will migrate from bridged USDC on Polygon to Circle-issued native USDC, reducing reliance on cross-chain bridges as prediction markets expand
Circle Partners with Polymarket to Build USDC Infra for Users
5.2.2026
Key Highlights Circle has announced its partnership with Polymarket, which will bring fully-reserved USDC stablecoin infrastructure to the…
Polymarket’s Free Grocery Store Pop-up Aims to One-up Kalshi’s Viral Giveaway
4.2.2026
Two rival prediction markets took their competition offline and into the checkout aisle this month, as Polymarket and Kalshi rolled out free-grocery stunts in New York City that blended viral marketing, civic signaling, and a not-so-subtle flex at a moment when food prices — and regulatory pressure...
U.S. regulator declares do-over on prediction markets, throwing out Biden era 'frolic'
4.2.2026
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission tumultuous legal fight with events-contracts firms is done, and its new leader is yanking previous policy efforts
Polymarket, Kalshi clash over groceries as prediction markets boom
4.2.2026
The grocery giveaways come as Kalshi and Polymarket continue to top overall prediction market trading volumes, which are now consistently above $400 million per day
Prediction Markets Price a Short 2026 Government Shutdown
3.2.2026
As the United States enters day four of a partial federal government shutdown tied to unresolved funding for Homeland Security, prediction markets are signaling that traders expect disruption—but not a prolonged Washington standoff. Shutdown Backdrop Traders Are Pricing In The partial shutdown...
Nevada court hits Polymarket with temporary restraining order, tests CFTC control
3.2.2026
A Nevada judge has temporarily barred prediction market Polymarket from offering event contracts in the state, pushing back against claims that only the CFTC can police those markets
Cboe is looking to make trading as simple as a ‘yes or no’ rivalling prediction markets
2.2.2026
The exchange is in early talks on a yes-or-no options product that mirrors platforms like Polymarket or Kalshi
Odds that Bitcoin slips below $65K climb to 72% on Polymarket
2.2.2026
Bitcoin bets on Polymarket show elevated downside risk in 2026 as analysts point to bearish trends and tight US liquidity conditions
Jupiter brings Polymarket to Solana and lands $35 million investment deal
2.2.2026
Jupiter said Polymarket will be integrated on its platform, while ParaFi Capital has made a $35 million strategic investment in JUP with an extended lockup
Polymarket, Kalshi contract limits demonstrated in latest U.S. government shutdown fight
31.1.2026
The U.S. government is likely to shut down Saturday morning until the House votes on a funding package, raising the importance of specificity in prediction market bets
Polymarket’s Success Fuels Legitimacy of Onchain Prediction Markets, Says Tech Entrepreneur
30.1.2026
Amit Mahensaria, founder of PRED, argues that the sports betting industry is at a tipping point as decentralized, peer‑to‑peer platforms challenge the traditional “house always wins” model. Technical Readiness Meets Cultural Shifts For decades, the sports betting industry has operated under...
Circle shares rise 4% as Polymarket-driven USDC growth prompts analyst upgrade
28.1.2026
Mizuho's Dan Dolev revised his bearish outlook on the stablecoin issuer, upgrading the stock to neutral
Major League Soccer Partners With Polymarket in Multi‑year Fan Engagement Deal
27.1.2026
Major League Soccer and Soccer United Marketing announce a multi‑year partnership with Polymarket to integrate prediction markets into fan experiences. Soccer United Marketing (SUM), the commercial arm of Major League Soccer (MLS), announces a multi‑year agreement naming Polymarket the official...
Bitcoin and ether volatility trading gets easier with Polymarket's new contracts
27.1.2026
Polymarket has launched new prediction markets tied to Volmex's bitcoin and ether 30-day implied volatility indices
Polymarket strikes prediction market deal with major US soccer league
27.1.2026
Polymarket will be the prediction market partner for the US Major League Soccer with the plan to offer “ways to engage more deeply with the game.”
Polymarket Traders Weigh Silver’s Ceiling and Gold’s Staying Power Into 2026
26.1.2026
At the time of writing, gold is changing hands at $5,079.30 per ounce, while silver is trading at $113.24—levels that currently make today’s prediction market wagers look less like fringe curiosities and more like forward-looking scoreboards. Gold and Silver Prediction Markets Favor Strength,...
Polymarket Odds of US Government Shutdown Rise as Democrats Oppose Funding DHS
26.1.2026
The odds of another government shutdown spiked on Polymarket after recent unrest in Minnesota prompted Democrats to oppose a funding bill that would bundle DHS funding with the budgets of other federal agencies. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said he would vote no if the bill were presented...
Markets Front-Run New Fed Chair: Pro-Crypto Blackrock Executive Gains Dominant Odds
26.1.2026
Prediction markets are coalescing around Blackrock executive Rick Rieder as the leading contender to succeed Fed Chair Jerome Powell, spotlighting a potential Federal Reserve shift shaped by pro- crypto, pro- bitcoin views and evolving monetary expectations. Polymarket Traders Rally Behind...