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Bears Everywhere: Polymarket Traders Believe Bitcoin Won’t Reach $100K Before Year End
15.12.2025
The cryptocurrency market exudes a pervasive bearish sentiment, with even crypto-focused platforms expressing pessimism about bitcoin’s price trajectory throughout 2025. Reflecting this skepticism, merely 20% of Polymarket traders anticipate bitcoin surpassing $100,000 by year’s end. A Bearish...
Prediction Markets Are Quietly Turning Into a New Asset Class, Citizens Says
15.12.2025
The bank said event markets are still tiny versus stocks but are rapidly expanding beyond sports into macro and policy risk
January Odds Scream ‘No Rate Change’ While Powell Shuts Down New Fed Chair Chatter
13.12.2025
After the U.S. Federal Reserve trimmed the benchmark interest rate last week, attention now shifts to the Jan. 28, 2026, meeting, where current odds suggest the central bank is poised to leave the target rate exactly where it is. A Few Days Following the Last Cut, Traders Price in a January...
As US Pressure Against Venezuela Builds, Polymarket Bettors Handicap Maduro’s Exit Timing
13.12.2025
Over the past year, tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela have heated up heading into late 2025 under President Trump, marked by U.S. maritime strikes, tanker seizures, and sanctions aimed squarely at Nicolás Maduro’s regime. Polymarket bettors say the odds of Maduro being pushed from power...
CFTC Gives No-Action Leeway to Polymarket, Gemini, PredictIt, LedgerX Over Data Rules
11.12.2025
The CFTC granted the operators of Polymarket, PredictIt, Gemini and LedgerX permission to skip certain recordkeeping requirements
Prediction Market Gamblers Can’t Believe They Just Lost A $20 Million Bet On A Technicality
11.12.2025
People who bet on AI being Time Magazine's Person of the Year and lost money are very mad right now
The post Prediction Market Gamblers Can’t Believe They Just Lost A $20 Million Bet On A Technicality appeared first on Kotaku
Most Influential: Shayne Coplan
11.12.2025
Once mired in legal trouble that included federal probes and law enforcement raids, Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan has emerged victorious this year, casting off the yoke of regulatory scrutiny and growing the prediction market he founded into a $9 billion betting empire
Crypto CEOs Join U.S. CFTC's Innovation Council to Steer Market Developments
10.12.2025
The chief executives of firms such as Gemini and Kraken will pitch in on U.S. policy efforts through the council's future, public discussions
Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone’s Bracing for the Aftershock
9.12.2025
Odds of the U.S. Federal Reserve trimming the federal funds rate at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) jumped on Tuesday, signaling that futures traders and prediction markets have all but planted a flag on a quarter-point cut as the likely outcome. Market Goes All-In on a Quarter-Point Trim...
‘Elite’ traders hunt dopamine-seeking retail on prediction markets: 10x Research
9.12.2025
Rising retail participation incentivizes data-driven, “elite” traders to use “information asymmetry” and spreads caused by casual investors seeking a quick buck, 10x said
Polymarket trading figures are being ‘double-counted ’: Paradigm
9.12.2025
Paradigm researchers found that major analytics dashboards are double-counting Polymarket’s trading volume due to redundant blockchain events
Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Steadies Around 90k With Liquidity Drained and a Fed Cut Fully Priced In
9.12.2025
QCP notes participation has collapsed while Polymarket sees a shallow easing path, putting the focus on guidance and cross central bank signals
Polymarket Betting Frenzy Erupts Over Trump’s Potential UFO File Release
7.12.2025
Odds on Polymarket that President Trump will declassify UFO files in 2025 have rocketed upward, igniting a fresh wave of speculation about what might finally slip out of the classified vault. UFO Disclosure Hype Sends Polymarket ‘Yes’ Shares Soaring Polymarket traders are piling into the “Yes” side...
Prediction Market Odds: House Democrat, Senate GOP Ahead of 2026 Elections
6.12.2025
According to the latest figures, President Donald Trump has logged 320 days of his second term, and his approval rating has slipped from the brief highs that followed his Jan. 20 inauguration. Meanwhile, prediction markets indicate Democrats are currently positioned to snag a few congressional...
Polymarket plans to use in-house market maker to trade against users: Report
5.12.2025
The company has approached traders, including sports bettors, about joining the effort as it expands in the US and rival Kalshi faces scrutiny over similar practices
Polymarket Hiring In-House Team to Trade Against Customers — Here's Why It's a Risk
5.12.2025
The prediction market’s move toward internal market making could blur the line with sportsbooks and undermine the platform’s neutrality, experts warn
MetaMask Integrates Polymarket on Its Mobile Application
4.12.2025
Key Highlights Polymarket is now integrated into the MetaMask mobile application, according to the latest post on X…
CZ’s YZi ramps up prediction market bet as Opinion claims 40% share
4.12.2025
The YZi Labs-backed “Opinion” prediction market logged $1.5 billion in weekly volume just weeks after launch, outpacing Kalshi and Polymarket as prediction markets boom
CZ’s YZi ramps up prediction market bet as Opinion claims 40% share
4.12.2025
The YZi Labs-backed “Opinion” prediction market logged $1.5 billion in weekly volume just weeks after launch, outpacing Kalshi and Polymarket as prediction markets boom
CZ’s YZi ramps up prediction market bet as Opinion claims 40% share
4.12.2025
The YZi Labs-backed “Opinion” prediction market logged $1.5 billion in weekly volume just weeks after launch, outpacing Kalshi and Polymarket as prediction markets boom