Search
‘The Next Crisis Has Already Begun’: Europe’s Top Official Urges FIFA to Act
21.7.2026
Council of Europe Secretary General Alain Berset has urged FIFA to begin work on a new integrity framework for the 2030 World Cup, directly linking player-action betting and FIFA’s own prediction-market sponsorship with an increased risk of match manipulation.   FIFA’s Promised Safeguards...
Prediction Markets Sound the Alarm: Odds of a Bab el-Mandeb Closure Surge Amid New Blockade Threats
21.7.2026
Prediction markets are now positively evaluating the possibility of a naval blockade against Saudi Arabia, now that the Houthis have issued a statement declaring a maritime blockade based on the principle of an “eye for an eye,” seeking to disrupt the flow of Saudi oil exports. Chances...
Spain–Argentina World Cup Final Drives Nearly $2B Across Prediction Markets
20.7.2026
Prediction markets recorded nearly $2 billion in final-specific trading as Spain defeated Argentina to win the 2026 World Cup. Kalshi accounted for almost 96% of the combined volume, with activity surging by more than $620 million from Friday through settlement. Final trading accelerates after...
Hyperliquid Bets Big on Prediction Markets With Permissionless HIP-4 Push
20.7.2026
Hyperliquid told users on July 19 that its outcome markets product, known as HIP-4, will move to permissionless deployment in a coming network upgrade. The announcement came through the exchange’s Telegram channel. Hyperliquid said the rollout will happen in two stages. “HIP-4 (outcome...
Hyperliquid plans to add decentralized prediction markets in upgrade to HIP-4
20.7.2026
Permissionless prediction markets will become available first on testnet and later on mainnet, Hyperliquid said
Former UFC Champion Conor McGregor Risks $100K on Viral 3-2 World Cup Prophecy With a $3.6M Payday
19.7.2026
Conor McGregor has placed $100,000 on Argentina beating Spain 3-2 in Sunday’s World Cup final, wagering that a five-year-old internet prediction will deliver a roughly $3.6 million payday. The former UFC champion shared the exact-score wager through 1xBet ahead of the 3 p.m. EDT kickoff on Sunday...
Prediction Market Traders Turn Bearish on Clarity Act Becoming Law in 2026
19.7.2026
Prediction market traders are betting against the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act becoming law in 2026, even as Kalshi bettors put strong odds on a Senate vote happening within weeks. On Polymarket, the market asking whether the Clarity Act (H.R. 3633) gets signed into law before December...
World Cup Betting Frenzy: $5.5B Wagers Back Spain to Crush Argentina
18.7.2026
Two prediction market platforms are pricing the same outcome for Sunday’s World Cup final, with Polymarket and Kalshi bettors both putting Spain ahead of Argentina as the teams prepare to meet at Metlife Stadium in New Jersey. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. EDT. On Polymarket, the World Cup winner...
Underdog Files First 7 Sports Contracts for Its Own Prediction Exchange
18.7.2026
Underdog has filed the first seven sports event-contract templates for UDX, the federally regulated exchange it acquired in March. The filings target an initial listing no later than July 17, moving Underdog closer to controlling its own contracts rather than relying exclusively on outside...
US Lawmakers Propose Facial Age Verification Across Online Betting Markets
17.7.2026
A bipartisan group of U.S. lawmakers wants online sportsbooks and prediction markets to scan users’ faces to estimate their age before allowing them to bet or trade. The proposal promises not to retain identities or biometric information, but its full text has not yet been published, leaving...
France’s World Cup Exit Erases Sportsbook Liability as Prediction Volume Surges
16.7.2026
France’s 2-0 semifinal defeat to Spain eliminated one of the most heavily backed teams on U.S. sportsbooks, wiping out major outright and player-prop liabilities. The result also closed France’s positions across multibillion-dollar World Cup prediction markets, although exchanges do...
Trump Teleprompter Operator Faces Trading Ban After Alleged $100K Kalshi Windfall: Report
16.7.2026
A White House teleprompter operator who has worked behind the scenes of Donald Trump’s biggest speeches since 2016 is now the subject of a federal investigation into whether he used advance knowledge of the president’s remarks to win more than $100,000 on a prediction market, according...
Stanford Study: Polymarket’s Bitcoin Bets Were Rigged in the Final 10 Seconds
16.7.2026
A small group of traders extracted $8.2 million from Polymarket’s five-minute bitcoin contracts by pushing the spot price on Binance just before settlement, researchers from Stanford University and Singapore Management University found. Striking New Findings Emerge Polymarket’s fastest...
CFTC Blocks Kalshi From Cancelling Michigan Sports Trades Ordered Voided
16.7.2026
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has stopped Kalshi from liquidating sports event contracts that a Michigan court ordered cancelled and refunded. The intervention leaves Michigan’s restriction on new sports trades intact while opening a direct federal-state confrontation over who controls...
Czechia Blocks Polymarket as Unlicensed Gambling, Ordering a 15-Day ISP Shutdown
15.7.2026
The Czech Republic has become the latest European country to block Polymarket as unlicensed gambling, adding the crypto-based prediction market to its official blocklist and giving internet providers 15 days to cut access. Another European door closes as Gibraltar’s opens The Czech Finance Ministry...
U.S. CFTC moves to stop Kalshi from canceling trades as ordered by Michigan court
14.7.2026
The federal derivatives regulator, which oversees trading at Kalshi, argued it was inappropriate for Michigan to "bully" the firm into reversing trades
Prediction markets just crushed traditional sportsbooks in a massive $50 billion World Cup breakout
14.7.2026
Prediction markets just topped $50 billion in monthly volume, capping off the first month of the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Gibraltar Launches the World’s First Dedicated Prediction-Market Regulatory Regime
14.7.2026
Gibraltar has become the first jurisdiction anywhere to enact a purpose-built regulatory framework for prediction markets, carving the fast-growing sector out of its general gambling law. The move sets the British Overseas Territory sharply apart from mainland Europe, where regulators are moving...
Kalshi Takes Tribal Sovereignty Fight to Ninth Circuit Over Sports Markets
14.7.2026
Three California tribes have asked the Ninth Circuit to revive their bid to block Kalshi’s sports event contracts on tribal lands. The appeal opens a new front in the prediction market’s regulatory fight: whether its federal exchange status can shield it from tribal governments invoking federal...
$558,924 in Esports Bets Reveal the Esports World Cup’s Biggest Week 2 Favorites
14.7.2026
The first full week of the 2026 Esports World Cup (EWC) crowned three champions in Paris, while prediction market traders spread more than $558,000 in reported volume across the Polymarket and Kalshi events. Three Champions Set the Early Pace 100 Thieves defeated NRG 3-1 in the Valorant grand...